On-Chain Geopolitics: Decoding the 61.5% Prediction Market Signal on Iran’s Next Move
Hook: The Signal in the Noise On-chain data reveals a brutal number: 61.5%....
Policy
•
PlanBtoshi
•
2026-07-19
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$62,879.1
-0.16%
ETH
Ethereum
$1,844.92
-1.15%
SOL
Solana
$72.06
-1.25%
BNB
BNB Chain
$574.7
-2.28%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.06
-0.18%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0692
-0.83%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1733
+2.42%
AVAX
Avalanche
$6.19
-3.13%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.7823
+3.07%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.06
-1.49%
Event Calendar
202612
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Tools
All →Popular Categories
Altseason Index
44
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$62,879.1 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,844.92 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$72.06 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$574.7 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.06 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0692 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1733 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.19 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.7823 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.06 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔴
0xc1d1...4fdb
12h ago
Out
2,560.53 BTC
🟢
0xc5de...5100
5m ago
In
3,603,000 USDC
🟢
0x8fd1...c803
2m ago
In
2,135.46 BTC
#Prediction Market
Prediction Market related articles
The 0.5% Signal: What Prediction Markets Reveal About the 2026 World Cup Halftime Show – and Themselves
When Crypto Briefing broke the news that Justin Bieber, Shakira, Madonna, and...
ETF
•
Ivytoshi
•
2026-07-18
Iranian Army Claims Attacks on US Depots, Kuwait Bridges, Jordan Fuel Reserve: A Data-Driven Analysis of the Information War
Hook A single claim, published on a crypto-focused outlet, now reverberates...
Exchanges
•
CryptoNode
•
2026-07-18
The World Cup Bet You Can’t Win: Zoomex’s Predict World and the Hollow Promise of Centralized Prediction
The subtle irony of building a prediction market on a centralized order book...
Analysis
•
CryptoNode
•
2026-07-17
Probly: The Prediction Market Channel with Zero Proof of Adoption
Zero users. Zero liquidity. Zero audited code. That is the inventory of Probl...
Exchanges
•
0xAlex
•
2026-07-15
Fear & Greed
27
Fear
Market Sentiment
Tag Hub
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
💡 Smart Money
0xea6b...bec6
Experienced On-chain Trader
+$0.3M
63%
0xde07...d6d6
Arbitrage Bot
-$4.8M
66%
0xc5ec...24e9
Early Investor
+$3.3M
77%